Bitcoin Daily Report — 26 Aug 2026
BTC $78,903 ▲ 0.6% NUPL 0.334 — Hope MVRV 1.501 SOPR 1.013 (above 1.0) Fear & Greed 65 — Greed • SOPR LTH crossed below 1.0 (1.004 → 0.924) — sellers at loss https://bgeometrics.com/reports/daily/2026-08-26.html
Detected automatically from on-chain, market and macro data. At most three a day, ranked by how rarely they fire — quiet days mean nothing changed.
BTC $78,903 ▲ 0.6% NUPL 0.334 — Hope MVRV 1.501 SOPR 1.013 (above 1.0) Fear & Greed 65 — Greed • SOPR LTH crossed below 1.0 (1.004 → 0.924) — sellers at loss https://bgeometrics.com/reports/daily/2026-08-26.html
Realized cap changed $2,281,037,558 over 30 days, sustained for five sessions. Net new capital is entering the network — the underlying driver of durable advances.
Net Unrealized Profit/Loss now classifies the market as Hope. Share of market cap held as unrealized profit, mapped to a sentiment band.
The composite regime score (on-chain, trend, volatility, funding, flows, ETF) now reads Transition. The score is between the hot and cold thresholds, with no clear direction.
1,394,735 BTC is at its lowest level in the last 100 days. 🔹Possible distribution 🔹Change last day: -0.0322% 🔹Change last week: -0.1832% 🔹Price bitcoin: $78,601 #Bitcoin #OnChain https://charts.bgeometrics.com/bitcoin_distribution_coins_tables.html https://charts.bgeometrics.com/distribution_coin_shrimp_dark.html
🔹Potential bullish signal. #Bitcoin #OnChain https://charts.bgeometrics.com/open_interest_futures.html
BTC $78,456 ▼ 0.6% NUPL 0.330 — Hope MVRV 1.493 SOPR 1.010 (above 1.0) Fear & Greed 74 — Greed • SOPR LTH crossed above 1.0 (0.974 → 1.004) — sellers in profit https://bgeometrics.com/reports/daily/2026-08-25.html
Value Days Destroyed Multiple is 0.76 (46th percentile). Value-weighted spending of old coins against its yearly baseline.
STH-MVRV is 1.130: coins bought in the last 155 days are above their average cost, sustained for five sessions. Recent buyers back in profit removes the most reflexive source of supply.
BTC at $77,593 held above its 111-day average ($67,533) for five sessions. The 111-day average is the fast leg of the Pi Cycle Top model and a reliable medium-term trend filter.
1,395,184 BTC is at its lowest level in the last 100 days. 🔹Possible distribution 🔹Change last day: -0.0354% 🔹Change last week: -0.1583% 🔹Price bitcoin: $78,894 #Bitcoin #OnChain https://charts.bgeometrics.com/bitcoin_distribution_coins_tables.html https://charts.bgeometrics.com/distribution_coin_shrimp_dark.html
🔹Potential bullish signal in the short term. #Bitcoin #OnChain https://charts.bgeometrics.com/fear_greed.html
🔹Potential bullish signal. #Bitcoin #OnChain https://charts.bgeometrics.com/etf.html
BTC $78,899 ▲ 1.7% NUPL 0.335 — Hope MVRV 1.503 SOPR 1.019 (above 1.0) Fear & Greed 73 — Greed • SOPR LTH crossed below 1.0 (1.155 → 0.974) — sellers at loss https://bgeometrics.com/reports/daily/2026-08-24.html
Sell-side risk is 0.00251, in the 96th percentile. Holders are taking unusually large profits relative to the size of the network.
$321,387,674 of positions were liquidated, 11.92 standard deviations above the 60-day norm. Forced closures clear leverage quickly and often mark short-term turning points.
BTC at $77,543 is above the $68,410 average entry of coins bought in the last 155 days, held for five sessions. Recent buyers are back in profit, which historically restores demand.
Flow 8,297 BTC is at its highest level in the last 100 days. 🔹Possible bullrun in the short term 🔹Price bitcoin: $73,071 #Bitcoin https://charts.bgeometrics.com/etf.html