BG Vector turns Bitcoin on-chain momentum and capital flows into one daily call: risk-on or risk-off, one of four market states and a BTC / cash allocation. How it works, how it was tested on data it never saw, and where it fails.
BG Lab searches thousands of simple rules built on BGeometrics on-chain metrics, validates them on data they never saw, and tracks them live with frozen thresholds. How it works, what it found, and why no rule clears the bar for 'definitely not luck' yet.
A new hourly 0-100 composite in the BGeometrics API that reads price, order-flow and leverage stress in one number — how it's built, what it got wrong at first, and what six years of hourly data say about where the line for 'extreme' actually sits.
A new 0-100 composite in the BGeometrics API that classifies the market as expansion, distribution, capitulation, recovery or transition — plus what 15 years of history says about each state, including where it fails.
Bitcoin's on-chain valuation sits in deep-value territory with strong holder conviction, but net ETF outflows and rising exchange reserves leave cheapness without a catalyst.
Bitcoin's on-chain valuation has reset to cycle-bottom territory without ever printing euphoria — framing this drawdown as a structural accumulation case with medium conviction.